US 10-Year: Wave Four Recovery After Hawkish Fed
Sep 17, 2026

US10Y

Fed raised rates by 25 basis points as expected, but more importantly, Chair Warsh sounded very hawkish during the press conference. Some policymakers even voted for a 50-basis-point hike. So with the Fed delivering only 25 basis points this time, more hikes are still possible in the months ahead.

Looking at the 10-year Treasury wave count, this still looks like only a wave four recovery. So more weakness in bonds could follow, which would mean another move higher in yields and could keep the dollar supported.

US 10-Year T-Note Elliott Wave Analysis
US 10-Year T-Note Elliott Wave Analysis

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