Forex

Elliott Wave Live: Dollar Rally Can Be TemporaryJan 6, 2026

Good morning everyone, and I hope you had a wonderful New Year holiday.

Normally at the start of a new year we focus on updating higher degree time frame charts, os if you are our member make sure to check the updates. In next few days, we will also look at US single stocks, and update some of the charts. Stocks are in beta and are free to access.

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In our webinar yesterday we focused on the bigger picture after the holiday slowdown. Markets are starting the year with higher volatility due to portfolio rebalancing and geopolitical uncertainty, but many recent moves still look corrective rather than trend-changing. The US dollar strength is seen as temporary, with resistance near 99–99.30, while EURUSD remains in a triangle with potential downside toward the 1.16 area before stabilisation. GBPUSD and AUDUSD stay constructive overall, with pullbacks expected to offer opportunities within a broader bullish structure. USDCAD remains bearish, while USDJPY is consolidating with room for another push higher. Equities remain in an uptrend, although early January may stay choppy. Commodities are mixed, with crude oil stable despite headlines and metals likely needing a deeper correction before trend continuation. In crypto, Bitcoin remains range-bound and unclear, while XRP shows stronger structure and ETH needs a decisive breakout to confirm upside.

Grega

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