Forex

Cable trying to break out of an ending diagonal/wedge, bullish? Elliott Wave analysisJul 20, 2022

Cable is making a nice reversal from the low from an Elliott wave perspective; it s a sharp and interesting bullish price action for now that can cause more upside this week. Keep in mind that we are tracking an Elliott wave ending diagonal which is normally a very powerful reversal pattern. A daily close above 1.2 can make a room for 1.24, but after intraday pullbacks. Count remains valid as long as the market trades above 1.1670 lv. Below that level wave three would be the shortest, so in such case our count should be adjusted.

GBPUSD Elliott wave

What is an ending diagonal?

I’ts a special reversal type of the pattern labeled with waves 1-2-3-4-5, where each leg is made by three subwaves. Normally it will occur in a fifth wave but we can also find it in wave C or sometimes in wave Y of a complex correction. So, it means they occur in very late stages of higher degree trends, and normally the price action will be slow, choppy, and overlapping with a very low volume and momentum. But after the market clears some stops with minor highs/lows within waves 3 and waves 5, the market will normally make a sharp and explosive turn in the opposite direction. A confirmation point for a change in trend is when wave 2-4 line is broken, plus a closing price beyond wave 4 termination level. When the diagonal is completed you can expect the price to retrace back to the starting point of the pattern. 

Elliott wave ending diagonal
Elliott wave ending diagonal

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